Super Bowl 48 is expected to be a close contest, with each team having legitimate reasons why they could or should win. Since I don’t really have a rooting interest, and I’m pining very hard for baseball, I decided to see if the winning league in MLB’s All-Star Game and/or World Series could be used as a predictor of the winning conference in the Super Bowl.
Below you will find the yearly winners of the World Series, All-Star Game from 1966 forward, and that season’s Super Bowl :
Here are the results. When the AL wins the All-Star Game, and you don’t consider the World Series result, the NFC holds a 11-10 edge in the Super Bowl. When the NL wins the All-Star Game, and you disregard the World Series, the conferences are tied at 12-all.
If you consider the World Series alone, an AL victory has led to the NFC winning 13 out of 24 times, while an NL title has resulted in 11-10 margin for the AFC.
When the AL wins both the All-Star Game and World Series, as it did this year, the NFC has won the Super Bowl seven out of 12 times. This is actually the greatest difference, percentage-wise, of any of the possible combinations.
So, it you choose to use this method to bet on the big game (and please don’t), take the Seahawks.