Using the Super Bowl to Predict the Winning League in the World Series

Now that the Super Bowl is over, pundits can fully turn their attention to the true National Pastime, and consider which teams will have a good shot at the World Series.  Let me save them (and you) some work by telling you that the winning World Series team will more than likely come from the American League.  Why? Because the Denver Broncos, of the American Football Conference, won the Super Bowl.

Below is a chart showing the result of each Super Bowl with the winning team and conference, and the World Series winner and their league (we’ll get to the All-Star Game result in a bit).  Through 2015, there have been 49 Super Bowls, with a corresponding 48 World Series (thanks for nothing, 1994). The winning conference in the Super Bowl has matched the winning league in the World Series in 27 of those 48 years (56.3% success rate). Furthermore, in each of the last nine years, and 13 out of the last 14 years, there has been a match.

Additionally, if you want to try and align the leagues/conferences including the MLB All-Star Game, the results aren’t terrific historically, but they are pretty solid of late. In the Super Bowl era, there have been 48 years that saw a Super Bowl winner, an All-Star Game winner and a World Series winner (2002’s All-Star Game tie mucks up the data a bit).  All three entities have matched up winning leagues and conferences only 14 times (29.2%).  However, there has been symmetry in game results in nine out of the last 12 years going back to 2004.

So, congrats to (insert name of American League team here) . . . 2016 World Series champs!

[Note: I know the Broncos are considered the champs of the 2015 season, not 2016, but I’m only referencing games played within the same calendar year]

 

SB Game # Year SB Winner SB Win. Conf. MLB World Series Winner MLB WS Win. League SB Win. Conf. = MLB Win. League? MLB ASG Winning League SB Win. Conf. = MLB ASG Win. League = MLB WS Win. League?
1 1967 Green Bay Packers NFC St. Louis Cardinals NL YES National YES
2 1968 Green Bay Packers NFC Detroit Tigers AL NO National NO
3 1969 New York Jets AFC New York Mets NL NO National NO
4 1970 Kansas City Chiefs AFC Baltimore Orioles AL YES National NO
5 1971 Baltimore Colts AFC Pittsburgh Pirates NL NO American NO
6 1972 Dallas Cowboys NFC Oakland Athletics AL NO National NO
7 1973 Miami Dolphins AFC Oakland Athletics AL YES National NO
8 1974 Miami Dolphins AFC Oakland Athletics AL YES National NO
9 1975 Pittsburgh Steelers AFC Cincinnati Reds NL NO National NO
10 1976 Pittsburgh Steelers AFC Cincinnati Reds NL NO National NO
11 1977 Oakland Raiders AFC New York Yankees AL YES National NO
12 1978 Dallas Cowboys NFC New York Yankees AL NO National NO
13 1979 Pittsburgh Steelers AFC Pittsburgh Pirates NL NO National NO
14 1980 Pittsburgh Steelers AFC Philadelphia Phillies NL NO National NO
15 1981 Oakland Raiders AFC Los Angeles Dodgers NL NO National NO
16 1982 San Francisco 49ers NFC St. Louis Cardinals NL YES National YES
17 1983 Washington Redskins NFC Baltimore Orioles AL NO American NO
18 1984 Los Angeles Raiders AFC Detroit Tigers AL YES National NO
19 1985 San Francisco 49ers NFC Kansas City Royals AL NO National NO
20 1986 Chicago Bears NFC New York Mets NL YES American NO
21 1987 New York Giants NFC Minnesota Twins AL NO National NO
22 1988 Washington Redskins NFC Los Angeles Dodgers NL YES American NO
23 1989 San Francisco 49ers NFC Oakland Athletics AL NO American NO
24 1990 San Francisco 49ers NFC Cincinnati Reds NL YES American NO
25 1991 New York Giants NFC Minnesota Twins AL NO American NO
26 1992 Washington Redskins NFC Toronto Blue Jays AL NO American NO
27 1993 Dallas Cowboys NFC Toronto Blue Jays AL NO American NO
28 1994 Dallas Cowboys NFC No World Series NO National NO
29 1995 San Francisco 49ers NFC Atlanta Braves NL YES National YES
30 1996 Dallas Cowboys NFC New York Yankees AL NO National NO
31 1997 Green Bay Packers NFC Florida Marlins NL YES American NO
32 1998 Denver Broncos AFC New York Yankees AL YES American YES
33 1999 Denver Broncos AFC New York Yankees AL YES American YES
34 2000 St. Louis Rams NFC New York Yankees AL NO American NO
35 2001 Baltimore Ravens AFC Arizona Diamondbacks NL NO American NO
36 2002 New England Patriots AFC Anaheim Angels AL YES TIE —–
37 2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC Florida Marlins NL YES American NO
38 2004 New England Patriots AFC Boston Red Sox AL YES American YES
39 2005 New England Patriots AFC Chicago White Sox AL YES American YES
40 2006 Pittsburgh Steelers AFC St. Louis Cardinals NL NO American NO
41 2007 Indianapolis Colts AFC Boston Red Sox AL YES American YES
42 2008 New York Giants NFC Philadelphia Phillies NL YES American NO
43 2009 Pittsburgh Steelers AFC New York Yankees AL YES American YES
44 2010 New Orleans Saints NFC San Francisco Giants NL YES National YES
45 2011 Green Bay Packers NFC St. Louis Cardinals NL YES National YES
46 2012 New York Giants NFC San Francisco Giants NL YES National YES
47 2013 Baltimore Ravens AFC Boston Red Sox AL YES American YES
48 2014 Seattle Seahawks NFC San Francisco Giants NL YES American NO
49 2015 New England Patriots AFC Kansas City Royals AL YES American YES
50 2016 Denver Broncos AFC TBD TBD

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